{"id":382295,"date":"2026-05-20T00:02:28","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T22:02:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prostartup.it\/polymarket-launches-private-company-trading-so-investors-can-speculate-on-anthropic-openai\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T00:02:28","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T22:02:28","slug":"polymarket-launches-private-company-trading-so-investors-can-speculate-on-anthropic-openai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prostartup.it\/ru\/polymarket-launches-private-company-trading-so-investors-can-speculate-on-anthropic-openai\/","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket launches private company trading so investors can speculate on Anthropic, OpenAI"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" fifu-lazy=\"1\" fifu-data-sizes=\"auto\" fifu-data-srcset=\"https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg?v=1777038754&w=1920&h=1080&ssl=1&w=75&resize=75&ssl=1 75w, https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg?v=1777038754&w=1920&h=1080&ssl=1&w=100&resize=100&ssl=1 100w, https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg?v=1777038754&w=1920&h=1080&ssl=1&w=150&resize=150&ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg?v=1777038754&w=1920&h=1080&ssl=1&w=240&resize=240&ssl=1 240w, https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg?v=1777038754&w=1920&h=1080&ssl=1&w=320&resize=320&ssl=1 320w, https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg?v=1777038754&w=1920&h=1080&ssl=1&w=500&resize=500&ssl=1 500w, https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg?v=1777038754&w=1920&h=1080&ssl=1&w=640&resize=640&ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg?v=1777038754&w=1920&h=1080&ssl=1&w=800&resize=800&ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg?v=1777038754&w=1920&h=1080&ssl=1&w=1024&resize=1024&ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg?v=1777038754&w=1920&h=1080&ssl=1&w=1280&resize=1280&ssl=1 1280w, https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg?v=1777038754&w=1920&h=1080&ssl=1&w=1600&resize=1600&ssl=1 1600w\" fifu-data-src=\"https:\/\/i3.wp.com\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg?v=1777038754&w=1920&h=1080&ssl=1\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<p><span class=\"HighlightShare-hidden\" style=\"top:0;left:0\"><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"InlineImage-imageEmbed\" id=\"ArticleBody-InlineImage-108296876\" data-test=\"InlineImage\">\n<div class=\"InlineImage-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"InlineImage-imagePlaceholder\" style=\"padding-bottom:55.55555555555556%\">\n<div style=\"height:100%\" class=\"lazyload-placeholder\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"InlineImage-imageEmbedCaption\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"InlineImage-imageEmbedCredit\">Omar Marques | Lightrocket | Getty Images<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Polymarket is moving deeper into private markets \u2014 and this time, the contracts are tied to companies most investors can talk about, but still cannot actually buy.<\/p>\n<p>The company is launching prediction markets tied to private company milestones, including valuations, IPO timing and secondary-market activity for names like OpenAI and Anthropic.<\/p>\n<div style=\"height:100%\" class=\"lazyload-placeholder\"><\/div>\n<p>Nasdaq Private Market will serve as the exclusive resolution data provider, supplying the information that determines whether these contracts pay out.<\/p>\n<p>These event contracts might solve one of the biggest frustrations for many investors. <\/p>\n<p>Many companies create enormous value and brand recognition before they ever go public, more than 1600 are unicorns valued at a billion dollars or more, according to <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-1\">Nasdaq<span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"><\/span><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span>.  But only accredited investors, an institution or someone very well connected can invest directly in those private companies.  <\/p>\n<p>Ordinary investors are typically sidelined.  <\/p>\n<p>Starting today, Polymarket&#8217;s contracts let traders take a position on whether a specific private-market event happens,  though without equity ownership, shares or voting rights.<\/p>\n<div style=\"height:100%\" class=\"lazyload-placeholder\"><\/div>\n<p>For example, Polymarket currently lists a market on whether OpenAI will have a $1 trillion-plus IPO before 2027, and another tied to whether Anthropic reaches a valuation of at least $500 billion in 2026. There is also a contract asking whether Anthropic will be valued higher than OpenAI at any point this year.<\/p>\n<p>These markets resolve using data from Nasdaq Private Market and in a first, it will make the valuation data publicly available for free, without a subscription. <\/p>\n<p>Kalshi also offers some event contracts on whether private companies will IPO, but they resolve based on an amalgamation of sources including company sites, the SEC, and a slew of news outlets. It doesn&#8217;t offer markets on private company valuations. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"ArticleBody-subtitle\">Private company boom<\/h2>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>NPM&#8217;s own data shows why these contracts could get attention. On its Anthropic company page, the share-price chart shows an estimated NPM price of $477.02 as of May 5, up more than 1,500%. It also lists a highest bid of $260.80, a lowest offer of $188.50 and a last trade of $234.00. The page says the NPM price is based on market activity, publicly sourced valuation data and proprietary information.<\/p>\n<p>These contracts give individuals a way to engage with private-market value creation earlier, while giving institutions another real-time read on how traders are pricing private-company momentum.<\/p>\n<p>There may be advantages for institutional investors as well. Secondary-market prices, funding rounds and IPO timing are still fragmented compared with public equities. A liquid prediction market around those events could become another signal, especially for companies where public comps are imperfect and fresh private-market data is hard to find.<\/p>\n<p>The real bet isn&#8217;t necessarily on OpenAI or Anthropic, it&#8217;s whether private-market information fuels contracts that are clear enough to trade, liquid enough to matter and reliable enough to resolve.<\/p>\n<p><em>Disclosure: Kalshi and CNBC have a commercial relationship which includes a minority investment.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"ArticleBody-MobileAdhesion\" class=\"MobileAdhesion-container\" data-module=\"mps-slot\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-googlePreferredSourceContainer\" data-module=\"GooglePreferredSource\" data-id=\"RegularArticle-GooglePreferredSource-5\">\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-googlePreferredSourceBorder\"><\/div>\n<p>Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/p><\/div>\n<hr \/>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Omar Marques | Lightrocket | Getty Images Polymarket is moving deeper into private markets \u2014 and this time, the contracts are tied to companies most<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":382296,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108296876-1777038731785-gettyimages-2272104582-omarques_23042026_tech_14_of_17.jpeg","fifu_image_alt":"Polymarket launches private company trading so investors can speculate on Anthropic, OpenAI","footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[704,478,507,209],"class_list":["post-382295","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-inv-business","tag-company","tag-investors","tag-launches","tag-trading"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prostartup.it\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/382295","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prostartup.it\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prostartup.it\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prostartup.it\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prostartup.it\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=382295"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prostartup.it\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/382295\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prostartup.it\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/382296"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prostartup.it\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=382295"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prostartup.it\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=382295"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prostartup.it\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=382295"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}